Oakland vs Robert Morris

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-04 03:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-04 11:03 AM EST

Oakland vs Robert Morris on 2026-01-04

💰 Best Bet #1 [Oakland / Spread / -5 at -110 / 58% / Oakland’s superior adjusted offensive efficiency (108.5) against Robert Morris’s weaker defense, combined with home-court advantage, supports covering the spread in simulations.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 160.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams play at a moderate-to-high tempo (71+ possessions), with recent trends showing overs in 7 of Oakland’s last 10 home games, favoring a high-scoring affair.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Oakland / Moneyline / -220 / 68% / Oakland’s strong win probability from efficiency metrics and home dominance outweighs Robert Morris’s road struggles.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Oakland | 68.5% |
| Win % for Robert Morris | 30.2% |
| Spread Cover % for Oakland | 58.2% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 54.1% / Under: 45.9% |
| Average Total Points | 159.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15.2, 24.1] |

Game Times
ET: 3:00 PM
CT: 2:00 PM
MT: 1:00 PM
PT: 12:00 PM
AKT: 11:00 AM
HST: 9:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[70% / 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line opened at -4.5 and moved to -5 with balanced action, no significant RLM observed as of 2026-01-04.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Oakland spread; efficiency ratings and simulation convergence show value despite public lean, with no contrarian signal needed.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Oakland, aligning with sharp money distribution and mathematical edges from efficiency metrics, making following the favorite optimal rather than fading. Oakland’s offensive rebounding strength (35% rate) versus Robert Morris’s weakness suggests potential for extra possessions, while overall defensive ratings point to a moderate-scoring game around 160 total. No major injuries reported as of 2026-01-04, preserving key contributors on both sides.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Oakland] — simulations and market data confirm the highest probability on the home favorite.

Highlights unavailable.