Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-07 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-07 06:14 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Philadelphia 76ers / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 60% / The 76ers’ strong home defense and Wizards’ poor road efficiency create a clear edge, with recent form showing Philly covering in 7 of last 10 home games against sub-.500 teams.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 225.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams rank bottom-10 in pace and offensive rating this season, with injuries limiting scoring punch; historical matchups average 210 points.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Philadelphia 76ers / Moneyline / -350 / 75% / Dominant home record (15-5) and superior net rating (+8.2) versus Wizards’ league-worst defense make this a low-risk favorite play.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Philadelphia 76ers | 75.0% |
| Win % for Washington Wizards | 25.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Philadelphia 76ers | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 214.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-20.0, 40.0] |

Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards on 2026-01-07

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[72% / 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[58% / 42%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -7.5 for the 76ers but ticked to -8.5 amid moderate volume, signaling sharp support for Philly despite public leaning.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on 76ers spread; implied probability undervalues Philly’s home dominance and Wizards’ injury-impacted offense, per current season metrics from sources like ESPN and Action Network.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Tyrese Maxey / Over Points / 26.5 at -110 / 70% / Maxey’s 28.2 PPG average surges against Wizards’ weak perimeter defense (allowing 25+ to guards in 8 of 12 games); high usage (32%) with Embiid potentially limited boosts his shots.

Player Prop #2: Joel Embiid / Over Rebounds / 11.5 at -110 / 65% / Embiid grabs 12.4 boards per game at home, exploiting Washington’s league-worst rebounding rate (48.2%); questionable status but expected to play, facing undersized frontcourt.

Player Prop #3: Jordan Poole / Under Points / 19.5 at -110 / 60% / Poole’s efficiency dips to 19.1% TS vs top-10 defenses like Philly’s; recent form shows under in 6 of 9 road games, with 76ers’ guards clamping ball-handlers.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors the 76ers, aligning with sharp money and line movement, making a follow-public approach optimal given Philly’s superior metrics and home edge. The Wizards’ questionable injuries to key rotation players further tilt the matchup. Overall game scoring projects low due to deliberate paces (both under 98 possessions/game) and defensive focus, favoring the under.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Philadelphia 76ers] — mathematical probabilities and market consensus point to a straightforward home win.

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