James Madison vs Marshall

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-07 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-07 11:41 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [James Madison / Spread / -1.5 at -110 / 58% / James Madison holds a strong home-court edge in Harrisonburg, with superior recent form against similar Sun Belt opponents, supported by simulation metrics showing consistent margin advantages.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 143.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit mid-tempo paces and average defensive efficiencies, with recent games trending toward higher scoring; offensive rebounding rates suggest potential for extra possessions and points.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [James Madison / Moneyline / -132 / 62% / As the favored home team, James Madison’s win probability aligns with their 8-7 record and matchup history, bolstered by key players’ efficiency in conference play.]

James Madison vs Marshall on 2026-01-07

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[60% / 40%]

💰 Money Distribution

[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

[Line opened at JMU -1 and held steady at -1.5, with minimal movement despite moderate public interest on the favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+2% on JMU spread; implied odds undervalue home advantage and form, creating value despite alignment.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for James Madison | 62% |
| Win % for Marshall | 36% |
| Spread Cover % for James Madison | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 143 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 15] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward James Madison as the home favorite, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal without contrarian value. Marshall’s road struggles and JMU’s defensive rebounding tilt the matchup favorably. Overall scoring outlook points to a moderate-paced game with potential for the over, given both teams’ average offensive outputs against conference foes.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with James Madison / No clear edge]

Highlights unavailable.