Monmouth vs William & Mary

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-08 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-08 11:05 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Monmouth / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 60% / Monmouth’s stronger home record and defensive efficiency give them an edge to cover against William & Mary’s road struggles]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams rank in the bottom half for pace and scoring, with recent games trending under due to solid perimeter defense]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Monmouth / Moneyline / -190 / 65% / Simulation and form metrics favor Monmouth’s win probability, supported by key players’ availability]

Monmouth vs William & Mary on 2026-01-08

Game Times

ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[Monmouth 65% / William & Mary 35%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Monmouth 70% / William & Mary 30%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

[Line opened at -5 and has held steady at -4.5, with no significant sharp action noted despite public lean]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3% on Monmouth spread — Implied probability undervalues Monmouth’s home efficiency and William & Mary’s poor away cover rate in current season data]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Monmouth | 62.50% |
| Win % for William & Mary | 37.50% |
| Spread Cover % for Monmouth | 55.00% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.00% / Under: 52.00% |
| Average Total Points | 140.00 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.00, 16.00] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Monmouth, aligning with money distribution and line stability, indicating no strong contrarian opportunity. Mathematical models support following this side due to Monmouth’s superior adjusted efficiency and William & Mary’s turnover issues on the road. Overall game scoring projects as moderate, with defenses likely limiting high outputs based on current season offensive ratings.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Monmouth — Highest probability backed by simulation and market consensus]

Highlights unavailable.