Drexel vs Stony Brook

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-08 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-08 11:09 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Drexel / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 55% / Drexel holds a strong home advantage in the CAA, with superior efficiency metrics and Stony Brook’s road struggles supporting a cover in 55% of simulations]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 133.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams rank low in pace and scoring efficiency this season, with defensive rebounding edges favoring a lower-scoring affair below the line]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Drexel / Moneyline / -175 / 62% / Home team’s recent form and roster depth provide a clear edge over the visiting Seawolves, aligning with win probability from advanced metrics]

Drexel vs Stony Brook on 2026-01-08

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Drexel 65% / Stony Brook 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Drexel 70% / Stony Brook 30%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Spread opened at -4 and ticked to -3.5 with balanced action; total steady at 133.5 despite minor under money]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Drexel spread, driven by home efficiency and simulation cover rate exceeding implied odds probability]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Drexel | 62.34% |
| Win % for Stony Brook | 37.66% |
| Spread Cover % for Drexel | 55.12% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.23% / Under: 51.77% |
| Average Total Points | 140.00 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-18.45, 24.67] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward the home favorite with money following suit, creating alignment without sharp resistance, making a follow on Drexel the optimal path based on metrics and simulations. Stony Brook’s 1-2 conference start shows vulnerability on the road, while Drexel’s home splits support the edge. Overall scoring outlook points to a controlled game under the total, given both teams’ mid-tier offensive ratings and solid defensive rebounding in recent CAA play.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Drexel]

Highlights unavailable.