Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-10 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-10 06:09 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Boston Celtics / Spread / -1.5 at -110 / 58% / Celtics hold a strong edge at home despite Tatum’s absence, with superior depth and recent form supporting a cover in simulations showing 55% probability; public alignment adds confidence.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 230.5 at -110 / 65% / Both teams exhibit high-pace offenses in the current season, with Spurs’ transition game and Celtics’ shooting efficiency pushing totals high; injuries to key defenders like Vassell increase scoring likelihood, aligning with 70% over probability in models.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Boston Celtics / Moneyline / -120 / 62% / Home advantage and overall talent disparity give Celtics the nod even without Tatum, as simulations project 65% win rate; sharp money leaning Boston despite public split.]

Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs on 2026-01-10

Game Times
ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[65% / 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -2.5 for Celtics, moved to -1.5 amid balanced action; no significant RLM, stable with public on favorite.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Celtics spread; implied odds undervalue home depth and pace matchup, supported by current season metrics showing Celtics’ +5.2 net rating at home.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Boston Celtics | 65.0% |
| Win % for San Antonio Spurs | 35.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Boston Celtics | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 70.0% / Under: 30.0% |
| Average Total Points | 236.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-25.0, 40.0] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward the Celtics with aligned money distribution, suggesting consensus without sharp resistance; following the public aligns with mathematical edges from simulations and home metrics. Tatum’s absence tempers expectations, but Celtics’ depth counters Spurs’ youth. Overall game outlook points to a high-scoring affair, with both offenses exploiting weakened defenses for an over-favoring total.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Boston Celtics] — simulations and market data confirm the highest probability on the home side.

Highlights unavailable.