Ohio vs Buffalo

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-10 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-10 12:03 PM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Ohio / Spread / -8.5 at -110 / 58% / Ohio’s adjusted efficiency edges Buffalo’s defense, with home-court advantage boosting cover probability amid recent form showing strong defensive rebounding.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 143.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams rank in the top 100 for tempo and effective FG%, with Ohio’s offense allowing high shot volume; recent games trend toward overs by 5+ points on average.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Ohio / Moneyline / -350 / 72% / Simulation aligns with Ohio’s superior O/D ratings and Buffalo’s turnover issues on the road, creating clear value despite public lean.]

Ohio vs Buffalo on 2026-01-10

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

[65% Ohio / 35% Buffalo]

💰 Money Distribution

[60% Ohio / 40% Buffalo]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -8 and has held steady at -8.5 despite moderate public action on the favorite, indicating sharp stability on Ohio.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3% on Ohio spread / Consensus from efficiency metrics and simulation shows edge over implied odds, with no major RLM but positive EV from home splits.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Ohio | 72.5% |
| Win % for Buffalo | 27.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Ohio | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points | 144.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5.0, 25.0] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Ohio, aligning with sharp money distribution and market consensus, making a follow strategy optimal as metrics confirm no overvaluation. Buffalo’s pace could push scoring, but Ohio’s defensive rebounding caps explosive runs, pointing to a moderate-scoring affair around 144 points. Overall, the matchup favors the home side without contrarian signals.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Ohio] — simulation and efficiency data support the favorite’s probability in this home matchup.

Highlights unavailable.