Bellarmine vs North Alabama

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-10 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-10 12:10 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Bellarmine / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 60% / Bellarmine holds a strong edge in adjusted efficiency and home form, covering in 55% of simulations despite recent daytime struggles, with line stable indicating value against a weaker North Alabama squad.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 146.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams average high-70s scoring in recent outings, with pace and defensive lapses pushing totals over in 51% of sims, supported by current season offensive rebounding trends.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Bellarmine / Moneyline / -285 / 65% / Simulations give Bellarmine a clear 65% win probability, backed by superior KenPom ratings and home advantage, making the favorite a solid play despite public lean.]

Bellarmine vs North Alabama on 2026-01-10

Game Times
ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[Bellarmine 70% / North Alabama 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Bellarmine 65% / North Alabama 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Line opened at -5 and moved to -4.5 with balanced action, no significant RLM despite public favoritism toward Bellarmine.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Bellarmine spread; convergence of sim win rates and efficiency metrics shows positive value, with no overreaction to North Alabama’s underdog status.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Bellarmine | 65% |
| Win % for North Alabama | 35% |
| Spread Cover % for Bellarmine | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 148 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 20] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Bellarmine, as both percentages favor the home team without divergence, making following the favorite optimal based on current season efficiency and form data. North Alabama’s road struggles and turnover rates support Bellarmine’s edge, while the game projects as moderately high-scoring given combined offensive rebounding and pace metrics exceeding league averages. No contrarian fade is justified, as EV confirms the consensus side.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Bellarmine] — simulations and market data point to a strong home win probability.

Highlights unavailable.