Cornell vs Dartmouth

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-10 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-10 12:17 PM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 Cornell / Spread / -7.5 at -110 / 60%
Cornell leverages strong home-court advantage with 7 wins in 8 home games this season, outpacing Dartmouth’s road struggles in Ivy League play.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 55%
Both teams rank below average in offensive efficiency (Cornell Adj O ~105, Dartmouth ~98 per recent metrics), favoring a controlled, lower-scoring affair despite moderate tempo.

💰 Best Bet #3 Cornell / Moneyline / -320 / 75%
Simulation and form data give Cornell a clear edge as the superior team, with Dartmouth winless in recent Ivy matchups against top foes.

Cornell vs Dartmouth on 2026-01-10

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets

Cornell 75% / Dartmouth 25%

💰 Money Distribution

Cornell 82% / Dartmouth 18%

💹 Market Alignment

Aligned

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at -7 and held steady at -7.5 despite heavy public action on Cornell, indicating no sharp resistance.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+4% on Cornell spread; simulation cover rate exceeds implied odds probability, supported by home efficiency splits and Dartmouth’s poor away defense.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Cornell | 72.0% |
| Win % for Dartmouth | 28.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Cornell | 58.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 152.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-4.2, 19.8] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Cooper Noard / Over 18.5 Points / -110 / 70%
Noard averages 19.2 PPG in last 5 games with high usage (28%) against Dartmouth’s weak perimeter defense (allowing 35% 3PT), boosting over likelihood.

Player Prop #2: Chris Manon / Over 5.5 Assists / -110 / 65%
Manon dishes 6.1 APG at home, exploiting Dartmouth’s turnover-prone guard play (18% TO rate), with offensive rebounding aiding extra possessions.

Player Prop #3: Cade Haskins / Under 12.5 Points / -110 / 62%
Haskins held under 11 in 4 of last 6 road games; Cornell’s interior defense (Adj D 95) limits mid-range scoring, projecting low output in tough matchup.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Cornell, aligning with money distribution and sharp consensus, making a follow strategy optimal as metrics confirm the favorite’s edge without overvaluation. Dartmouth’s recent form shows defensive lapses but low offensive output, pointing to a game under the total with Cornell controlling pace. Overall scoring outlook leans moderate, with both teams’ efficiencies suggesting totals around 150 based on current season data.

🔮 Recommended Play

Follow the public with Cornell — simulation and market data highlight the highest probability on the home favorite covering and winning outright.

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