Bucknell vs Loyola Maryland

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-10 05:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-10 12:57 PM EST

Bucknell vs Loyola Maryland on 2026-01-10

💰 Best Bet #1 [Bucknell / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Bucknell’s strong home efficiency and Loyola’s road struggles create a clear edge, supported by recent form and simulation cover rate.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ pace and defensive lapses suggest a slight lean over, with average points aligning closely to the line amid neutral injury impacts.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Bucknell / Moneyline / -180 / 65% / Home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency give Bucknell the highest win probability, with positive EV against the implied odds.]

Game Times
ET: 5:00 PM
CT: 4:00 PM
MT: 3:00 PM
PT: 2:00 PM
AKT: 1:00 PM
HST: 11:00 AM

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Bucknell | 65% |
| Win % for Loyola Maryland | 35% |
| Spread Cover % for Bucknell | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 18] |

💸 Public Bets
[Bucknell 70% / Loyola Maryland 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Bucknell 65% / Loyola Maryland 35%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at -4 and held steady, with minimal movement despite public lean on home team.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Bucknell spread; simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, bolstered by home splits and no major injuries shifting value.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Josh Bascoe / Over Points / 15.5 at -115 / 72% / Bascoe’s 18.2 PPG average and high usage against weaker defenses support the over, with Loyola allowing 16+ to guards recently.

Player Prop #2: Jordan St. John / Under Points / 12.5 at -110 / 68% / St. John’s efficiency drops on the road (10.8 PPG), facing Bucknell’s solid perimeter D that limits scoring to under 12 in similar matchups.

Player Prop #3: Jack Forrest / Over Rebounds / 6.5 at -105 / 70% / Forrest grabs 7.1 RPG at home, exploiting Loyola’s rebounding deficiencies (42% defensive rate), with pace favoring extra opportunities.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on the home favorite, making following Bucknell the optimal path without need for a fade, as EV confirms the edge. No significant injuries alter the outlook, keeping both teams near full strength. The game projects as moderately high-scoring, with offenses capable of pushing past defensive averages in a neutral-pace matchup.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Bucknell] — simulation and market data point to the highest probability of success on the favorite.

Highlights unavailable.