Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-12 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-12 06:17 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Philadelphia 76ers / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 55% / Philadelphia holds an edge with key players available despite injuries, supported by recent form and simulation showing 52% cover rate against Toronto’s depleted roster.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 220.5 at -110 / 60% / Both teams exhibit defensive tendencies in recent games, with average total of 214.3 from simulations and injuries limiting scoring potential.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Philadelphia 76ers / Moneyline / -137 / 58% / 76ers favored due to superior win probability of 59% in simulations, bolstered by Toronto’s multiple key absences.]

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers on 2026-01-12

Game Times

ET: 7:30 PM
CT: 6:30 PM
MT: 5:30 PM
PT: 4:30 PM
AKT: 3:30 PM
HST: 1:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[65% / 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable at -2.5 for Philadelphia, with minimal shifts despite public lean toward the favorite]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Under, driven by low projected total and defensive matchups; spread and ML show marginal +1-2% edges favoring Philadelphia based on simulation convergence]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Toronto Raptors | 41% |
| Win % for Philadelphia 76ers | 59% |
| Spread Cover % for Toronto Raptors +2.5 | 48% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 38% / Under: 62% |
| Average Total Points | 214.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.2, +4.1] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on the Philadelphia side, as both percentages favor the 76ers without significant reverse line movement, making a follow strategy optimal given the positive EV edges. Toronto’s injuries to key players like Poeltl and Barrett weaken their lineup, tilting the matchup toward Philadelphia. Overall game scoring outlook points to a lower-output contest, with defensive efficiencies and absences supporting the under.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Philadelphia 76ers] — mathematical probability favors their win based on simulations and current factors.

Highlights unavailable.