Buffalo vs Kent State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-13 06:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-13 11:00 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Buffalo / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Buffalo’s strong home efficiency and Kent State’s road struggles align with simulation cover rate, supported by recent form and injury edges.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 148.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams’ pace and defensive lapses suggest a higher-scoring affair, per offensive ratings and head-to-head trends.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Buffalo / Moneyline / -200 / 65% / Dominant win probability from metrics, factoring home advantage and Kent State’s subpar away record.]

🏀 Buffalo vs Kent State on 2026-01-13

Game Times

ET: 6:30 PM
CT: 5:30 PM
MT: 4:30 PM
PT: 3:30 PM
AKT: 2:30 PM
HST: 12:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

[65% / 35%]

💰 Money Distribution

[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement

[Stable at -4.5 for Buffalo, with minimal shift despite public lean toward home team.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+3% on Buffalo spread, driven by simulation probabilities and contextual home/road splits outweighing public action.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Buffalo | 65% |
| Win % for Kent State | 30% |
| Spread Cover % for Buffalo | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 55% / Under: 45% |
| Average Total Points | 150 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2, +10] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment favors Buffalo, but divergent money distribution hints at sharp caution on the favorite, creating value on the spread without strong reverse line movement to fade aggressively. Mathematical edges support following the home team given efficiency metrics and simulation outcomes. Overall game scoring outlook points to moderately high totals, as both offenses exploit defensive weaknesses in current season matchups.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Buffalo] — strongest probability from aligned metrics and home dominance.

Highlights unavailable.