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NCAABNCAAB

Tennessee vs Texas A&M
Jan 13, 2026
Bet 1 / Bet 2 / Bet 3
/ /
33.3%
1 / 3 Correct

Tennessee LogoTennessee vs Texas A&M LogoTexas A&M

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-13 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-13 11:03 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Tennessee / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 55% / Tennessee’s strong home defense and recent form against SEC foes support covering the spread, with simulation showing 52% cover rate adjusted for line value.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 160.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams exhibit controlled pace and solid defensive efficiencies in current season matchups, aligning with simulated average of 158.2 points.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Tennessee / Moneyline / -420 / 76% / Dominant win probability from metrics like adjusted efficiency and home advantage outweighs the juice.]

Tennessee vs Texas A&M on 2026-01-13

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Tennessee 72% / Texas A&M 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Tennessee 68% / Texas A&M 32%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Tennessee -8.5 and moved to -9.5 amid steady action on the favorite, indicating sustained interest without sharp resistance.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Tennessee spread; implied probability undervalues true cover chance based on efficiency ratings and simulation convergence.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Tennessee | 76% |
| Win % for Texas A&M | 24% |
| Spread Cover % for Tennessee | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 158.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [Tennessee -12, +6] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Tennessee, aligning with money distribution and line movement, suggesting no need to fade as metrics confirm the edge through home efficiency and defensive rebounding advantages. Texas A&M’s road struggles in the current season further support following the consensus without contrarian adjustment. Overall game scoring outlook points to a lower-output contest, with both squads ranking in the top quartile for points allowed per possession.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Tennessee] — mathematical probability favors the home team covering and winning outright based on form and simulation data.

Highlights unavailable.

Post ID: 31464