Oklahoma vs Florida

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-13 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-13 11:18 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Florida / Spread / -1.5 at -110 / 55% / Florida’s superior adjusted offensive efficiency (115 vs Oklahoma’s 105 defensive) and recent form give them a slight edge, supported by line movement favoring the road team despite home advantage.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo with Oklahoma allowing high points at home (avg 78 allowed last 5), and Florida’s efficient scoring pushes totals over in 60% of similar matchups.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Florida / Moneyline / -120 / 52% / Model estimates 52% win probability for Florida, creating positive EV against implied odds of 54.5%, bolstered by key player availability and Oklahoma’s turnover issues.]

Oklahoma vs Florida on 2026-01-13

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Oklahoma | 48.0% |
| Win % for Florida | 52.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Florida -1.5 | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 151.0 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.0, 15.0] |

Game Times
ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[35% Oklahoma / 65% Florida]

💰 Money Distribution
[30% Oklahoma / 70% Florida]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Florida -2.5 but moved to -1.5 with sharp action on Oklahoma, indicating professional money against the public favorite despite high betting volume.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Florida spread; implied probability undervalues Florida’s edge from efficiency metrics and injury-free lineup, with RLM confirming value.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Florida, aligning with sharp money distribution, making a follow strategy optimal as metrics confirm the road team’s slight superiority without contrarian signals strong enough for a fade. Oklahoma’s home defense has vulnerabilities against efficient offenses like Florida’s, leading to an expected moderate-scoring affair around 151 total points based on pace and rebounding rates. No major injuries reported, but travel fatigue could slightly hinder Florida’s execution.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Florida] — mathematical probability favors the Gators covering and winning outright.

Highlights unavailable.