New Mexico vs Grand Canyon

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-13 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-13 11:22 AM EST

New Mexico vs Grand Canyon on 2026-01-13

💰 Best Bet #1 New Mexico / Spread / -7.5 at -110 / 60% / New Mexico’s superior adjusted efficiency and home advantage provide a clear edge over Grand Canyon’s defensive vulnerabilities in recent matchups.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams play at a high tempo with top-100 offensive ratings, and their combined pace suggests a game exceeding the line based on current season averages.

💰 Best Bet #3 New Mexico / Moneyline / -320 / 72% / Dominant home form and win probability from simulations make New Mexico the strong favorite against an underperforming Grand Canyon.

Game Times

ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
New Mexico 70% / Grand Canyon 30%

💰 Money Distribution
New Mexico 60% / Grand Canyon 40%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at New Mexico -7 and moved to -7.5 with balanced action, indicating stability despite public lean.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on New Mexico spread; implied probability undervalues their 60% cover chance based on efficiency metrics and home splits from the current 2026 season.

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment aligns closely with sharp money on New Mexico, supported by line stability and no significant reverse movement, making a follow strategy optimal without contrarian value. Both teams’ offensive efficiencies point to a moderately high-scoring affair, though defensive adjustments could cap the total. Overall, the matchup favors the home side with positive EV on the spread.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with New Mexico — mathematical probability and market consensus confirm the edge.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for New Mexico | 72.0% |
| Win % for Grand Canyon | 28.0% |
| Spread Cover % for New Mexico | 58.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.0% / Under: 48.0% |
| Average Total Points | 146.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10.0, 25.0] |

Highlights unavailable.