San Jose State vs Air Force

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-13 10:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-13 11:26 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [San Jose State / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 58% / San Jose State shows strong home form with efficient offense, covering in 60% of recent games, while Air Force struggles on the road against similar defenses.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 138.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo, with San Jose State’s recent games averaging 142 points and Air Force allowing high outputs in conference play.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [San Jose State / Moneyline / -280 / 73% / Dominant win probability driven by superior efficiency ratings and home advantage in the Mountain West.]

San Jose State vs Air Force on 2026-01-13

Game Times
ET: 10:00 PM
CT: 9:00 PM
MT: 8:00 PM
PT: 7:00 PM
AKT: 6:00 PM
HST: 4:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[70% / 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[60% / 40%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable at -6.5, no significant shifts despite moderate public action on favorite]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on San Jose State spread due to line consensus and simulation alignment with current season efficiency metrics]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for San Jose State | 72.50% |
| Win % for Air Force | 27.50% |
| Spread Cover % for San Jose State | 58.00% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.00% / Under: 48.00% |
| Average Total Points | 140.00 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-5.20, 25.30] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward San Jose State, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal as EV supports the favorite without contrarian signals. Air Force’s road inefficiencies and potential injury impacts further favor the home side. Overall game scoring projects moderately high, with both offenses capable of pushing past the total based on pace and defensive lapses in recent matchups.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with San Jose State] — highest probability edge in aligned market conditions.

Highlights unavailable.