Samford vs Furman

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-14 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-14 11:04 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Samford / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 58% / Samford benefits from home-court edge and Furman’s key absences, with recent defensive efficiency supporting a cover against a depleted opponent.
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 152 at -110 / 55% / Both squads play at a high tempo, averaging combined 155 points in recent outings, with Furman’s injuries unlikely to slow Samford’s offense significantly.
💰 Best Bet #3 Samford / Moneyline / -150 / 65% / Superior adjusted efficiency ratings and Furman’s shorthanded lineup tilt the win probability heavily toward the home team.

Samford vs Furman on 2026-01-14

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Samford 65% / Furman 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Samford 70% / Furman 30%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -1.5 for Samford and moved to -2.5 amid sharp action on the home team, despite public leaning.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Samford spread; convergence of line movement, injury impacts, and efficiency metrics indicate value against implied odds.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Samford | 65.0% |
| Win % for Furman | 35.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Samford | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 153 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8, 12] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Samford, supported by Furman’s multiple absences that weaken their rotation, making following the favorite optimal. The matchup projects as moderately high-scoring, with Samford’s pace and Furman’s transitional style pushing toward the over despite defensive efforts. Overall, home advantage and current form create clear edges without contrarian opportunities.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Samford — mathematical probability favors the home team covering and winning outright.

Highlights unavailable.