Southern Illinois vs Drake

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-14 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-14 11:21 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Drake / +3.5 / -110 / 52% / Simulation indicates a tight margin with only 50.1% cover rate for the favorite, creating value on the underdog spread amid balanced efficiencies and home advantage not overwhelming.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 140.5 at -110 / 53% / Teams’ combined pace and offensive efficiencies project an average of 141.4 points, slightly above the line based on recent form and defensive vulnerabilities.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Southern Illinois / Moneyline / -170 / 60% / Home team holds a clear edge in win probability from adjusted ratings and simulation outcomes.]

Southern Illinois vs Drake on 2026-01-14

Game Times

ET: 8:00 PM
CT: 7:00 PM
MT: 6:00 PM
PT: 5:00 PM
AKT: 4:00 PM
HST: 2:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[Southern Illinois 62% / Drake 38%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Southern Illinois 58% / Drake 42%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at Southern Illinois -4, moved to -3.5 with balanced action despite public lean toward home team]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2% on Drake +3.5; line movement and simulation convergence suggest undervaluation of away team’s defensive efficiency against the spread]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Southern Illinois | 60.2% |
| Win % for Drake | 36.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Southern Illinois | 50.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.8% / Under: 47.2% |
| Average Total Points | 141.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-20.0, 27.0] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Southern Illinois, aligning with money distribution and market consensus, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading without clear sharp resistance. The game projects as moderately high-scoring given both teams’ tempos and recent offensive outputs exceeding defensive allowances, though injuries remain unconfirmed. Overall, the matchup favors the home side but with value on the underdog spread due to close projected margins.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Southern Illinois] — mathematical probability supports the favorite’s outright win despite spread value elsewhere.

Highlights unavailable.