DePaul vs Marquette

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-16 08:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-16 10:32 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 DePaul / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 58% / DePaul’s strong home defense and Marquette’s road struggles create value on the favorite covering, supported by recent form and efficiency metrics.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 138.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams exhibit low-tempo play and solid defensive ratings in the current season, with injuries limiting scoring potential for a below-average total.

💰 Best Bet #3 DePaul / Moneyline / -170 / 65% / Home advantage and superior adjusted offensive efficiency give DePaul a clear edge over the underperforming Marquette squad.

DePaul vs Marquette on 2026-01-16

Game Times

ET: 8:30 PM
CT: 7:30 PM
MT: 6:30 PM
PT: 5:30 PM
AKT: 4:30 PM
HST: 2:30 PM

💸 Public Bets

DePaul 45% / Marquette 55%

💰 Money Distribution

DePaul 60% / Marquette 40%

💹 Market Alignment

Divergent

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at DePaul -4 and moved to -3.5 with sharp money on the home team despite public leaning toward Marquette.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

+3.2% on DePaul spread, driven by reverse line movement and Marquette’s poor away efficiency rating in the 2026 season.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for DePaul | 65.2% |
| Win % for Marquette | 34.8% |
| Spread Cover % for DePaul | 58.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.3% / Under: 51.7% |
| Average Total Points | 137.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-6.2, 13.8] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment favors the name-brand Marquette, but sharp money and line movement indicate professional action on DePaul, creating a contrarian edge on the home team. Defensive metrics for both sides suggest a grind-it-out game with limited scoring opportunities. Overall, the matchup projects as low-scoring, favoring unders and DePaul’s home dominance.

🔮 Recommended Play

Fade the public on DePaul — mathematical probabilities and market signals point to value in backing the home favorite against the overhyped underdog.

Highlights unavailable.