Hofstra vs Elon

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-17 12:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 11:47 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Hofstra / Spread / -5.5 at -110 / 60% / Hofstra’s strong recent form and home advantage align with simulation covering over 54% of the time, supported by Elon’s road struggles.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 149 at -105 / 55% / Both teams’ defensive efficiencies and slower tempos suggest a lower-scoring affair, with simulation average at 145.37 points.

💰 Best Bet #3 Hofstra / Moneyline / -240 / 65% / Hofstra holds a clear edge in win probability at 63.84% per simulation, bolstered by superior offensive rebounding and Elon’s turnover issues.

Hofstra vs Elon on 2026-01-17

Game Times

ET: 12:00 PM
CT: 11:00 AM
MT: 10:00 AM
PT: 9:00 AM
AKT: 8:00 AM
HST: 6:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
Hofstra 65% / Elon 35%

💰 Money Distribution
Hofstra 55% / Elon 45%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -6 and moved to -5.5 with balanced action, no significant RLM observed.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Hofstra spread; simulation probabilities and current season metrics show value against implied odds, with no overreaction to public favoritism.

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment leans toward Hofstra, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal without need for a fade. Elon’s recent road games show defensive vulnerabilities, but Hofstra’s pace control limits explosive scoring. Overall game outlook points to moderate totals, favoring under based on both teams’ allowed points per game averaging below 72 in conference play.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Hofstra — simulation and market consensus confirm the highest probability of success.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Hofstra | 63.84% |
| Win % for Elon | 36.16% |
| Spread Cover % for Hofstra | 54.80% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49.65% / Under: 50.35% |
| Average Total Points | 145.37 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-22.88, 32.26] |

Highlights unavailable.