NCAAB

Fordham vs Duquesne

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-17 12:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 11:51 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Fordham / Spread / +1.5 at -110 / 52% / Fordham shows resilience at home despite recent skid, with simulation favoring a close contest and historical edge over Duquesne in recent matchups]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit moderate offensive efficiencies in A-10 play, with defensive rebounding and turnover rates suggesting a controlled, lower-scoring affair below the line]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Duquesne / Moneyline / -120 / 52% / Duquesne’s slightly superior adjusted efficiency and bounce-back potential after losses give a narrow edge on the road]

🏀 Matchup: Fordham vs Duquesne on 2026-01-17

Game Times
ET: 12:30 PM
CT: 11:30 AM
MT: 10:30 AM
PT: 9:30 AM
AKT: 8:30 AM
HST: 6:30 AM

💸 Public Bets
[40% Fordham / 60% Duquesne]

💰 Money Distribution
[45% Fordham / 55% Duquesne]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at Duquesne -1 and has held steady at -1.5, with minimal movement despite moderate public interest on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2% on Under] — Defensive metrics from current season data, including opponent points allowed averages, support a slight value on the under amid aligned market action and no significant sharp resistance.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Fordham | 48% |
| Win % for Duquesne | 52% |
| Spread Cover % for Fordham +1.5 | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 141 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10, 10] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Duquesne as the slight favorite, aligning with money distribution and stable lines, indicating no clear sharp divergence to fade. Following the market consensus on Duquesne holds mathematical merit given their efficiency edge, though Fordham’s home form tempers the blowout risk. Overall scoring outlook points to a mid-range total, with both defenses capable of limiting possessions in a conference matchup.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Duquesne] — The 52% win probability and contextual factors like recent losses provide the best edge without forcing a contrarian stance.

Highlights unavailable.