NCAAB

Delaware vs New Mexico State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-17 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 11:56 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Delaware / Spread / -2.5 at -110 / 58% / Delaware’s strong home efficiency ratings and recent form give them an edge to cover, supported by simulation cover probability exceeding implied odds despite public favoritism.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 139.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ defensive rebounding and turnover percentages suggest a controlled pace, tilting toward a lower-scoring affair based on current season averages and matchup defensive metrics.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Delaware / Moneyline / -140 / 61% / Home advantage and superior adjusted offensive efficiency provide value on the favorite, with win probability aligning for positive EV.]

🏀 Matchup: Delaware vs New Mexico State on 2026-01-17

Game Times
ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Delaware | 61% |
| Win % for New Mexico State | 39% |
| Spread Cover % for Delaware (-2.5) | 58% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 138.7 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-8.2, +12.4] |

💸 Public Bets
[Delaware 70% / New Mexico State 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Delaware 72% / New Mexico State 28%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable at -2.5 for Delaware; no significant shifts despite heavy public action on the favorite, indicating consensus without sharp resistance.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Delaware spread; simulation probabilities exceed implied odds, supported by current season efficiency metrics and home splits, creating value even with public alignment.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Delaware, aligning with money distribution and stable lines, suggesting no strong sharp resistance and supporting a follow-the-public approach on the spread where EV remains positive. Both teams exhibit solid defensive efficiencies this season, pointing to a game under the total without major scoring outliers. Overall, the matchup favors Delaware’s home-court dynamics, but New Mexico State’s rebounding could keep it competitive.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Delaware] — simulation and market consensus highlight the highest probability of success on the favorite.

Highlights unavailable.