Yale vs Cornell

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-17 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 11:57 AM EST

Yale vs Cornell on 2026-01-17

💰 Best Bet #1 [Yale / Spread / +5.5 at -110 / 58% / Recent form and simulation indicate Yale covers as underdog, with strong defensive metrics limiting Cornell’s edge despite road challenges]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 138.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams exhibit low-possession styles and average 68-70 points per game, with injuries impacting scoring pace]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Cornell / Moneyline / -150 / 65% / Cornell’s superior efficiency ratings and win probability from Monte Carlo align with market consensus]

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[Yale 62% / Cornell 38%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Yale 48% / Cornell 52%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at Yale +4.5, moved to +5.5 on sharp money toward underdog despite public lean on Yale]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+2.5% on Yale spread cover, driven by reverse line movement and contextual underdog value in Ivy League matchups]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Yale | 35% |
| Win % for Cornell | 65% |
| Spread Cover % for Yale +5.5 | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 138.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.5, 8.3] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment favors Yale slightly, but money distribution and line movement suggest sharp action on Cornell, creating a divergent market where fading the public on the underdog side offers value. Mathematical models confirm positive EV on the spread and under, supported by both teams’ mid-tier offensive efficiencies and defensive rebounding strengths. Overall game scoring outlook points to a lower-total affair, with combined averages under 140 points in similar Ivy League contests this season.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Fade the public on Yale] — mathematical probability favors Cornell’s cover and win based on efficiency and simulation edges.

Highlights unavailable.