Manhattan vs Siena

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-17 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 12:01 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Siena / Spread / -6.5 at -110 / 55% / Siena’s strong road cover rate in the current 2026 season aligns with simulation edges, showing consistent performance against similar opponents despite Manhattan’s home court.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 141.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams’ recent games indicate moderate scoring trends, with offensive efficiencies supporting a slight lean over the line based on pace and defensive vulnerabilities.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Siena / Moneyline / -280 / 64% / Siena holds a clear edge in win probability from form and matchup metrics, making the moneyline a solid value despite the juice.]

Manhattan vs Siena on 2026-01-17

Game Times
ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[Siena 65% / Manhattan 35%]

💰 Money Distribution
[Siena 70% / Manhattan 30%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Opened at Siena -6 and held steady at -6.5, with minimal movement indicating consensus on the favorite despite public lean.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Siena spread, driven by reverse line stability against public action and simulation cover probabilities exceeding implied odds.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Manhattan | 35.2% |
| Win % for Siena | 63.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Manhattan | 47.9% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51.3% / Under: 48.7% |
| Average Total Points | 141.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12.5, 25.3] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Siena, aligning with sharp money indicators and no significant reverse line movement to suggest a fade. Mathematical models support following Siena due to their superior recent form and road efficiency in the 2026 season. The game projects as moderately high-scoring, with both offenses capable of exploiting defensive lapses but totals leaning slightly over based on pace metrics.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Siena / No clear edge] — Siena’s probabilities and EV make it the optimal side.

Highlights unavailable.