Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-17 08:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-17 05:37 PM EST

Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets on 2026-01-17

💰 Best Bet #1 [Golden State Warriors / Spread / -12.5 at -110 / 65% / Warriors dominate at home with strong defensive rating against Hornets’ low-efficiency offense, supported by recent form and simulation cover rate.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 231.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams play at a moderate pace with Warriors’ offensive rating favoring higher totals, aligned with average simulated points of 231.4.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Golden State Warriors / Moneyline / -800 / 78% / Clear favorite edge from win simulation and home advantage, Hornets struggling on road.]

Game Times

ET: 08:30 PM
CT: 07:30 PM
MT: 06:30 PM
PT: 05:30 PM
AKT: 04:30 PM
HST: 02:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[72% / 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[85% / 15%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -11.5 and moved to -12.5 with heavy action on Warriors, indicating sharp support for the favorite despite public backing.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4.2% on Warriors spread; simulation and metrics show value against implied odds, with home efficiency and Hornets’ poor road ATS record.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Golden State Warriors | 78% |
| Win % for Charlotte Hornets | 22% |
| Spread Cover % for Golden State Warriors (-12.5) | 62% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 54% / Under: 46% |
| Average Total Points | 231.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [+8, +18] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors the Warriors, aligning with sharp money and line movement, making a follow-the-public approach optimal on the favorite. The matchup points to a higher-scoring game given the Warriors’ offensive firepower against the Hornets’ weaker defense, though totals remain close. Overall, data convergence supports value on Warriors sides without contrarian fade.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Golden State Warriors] — simulation and market data confirm the highest probability on the home favorite.

Highlights unavailable.