Butler vs DePaul

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-20 07:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-20 11:22 AM EST

🧠 Top 3 Overall Best Bets

💰 Best Bet #1 [Butler / Spread / -8 at -110 / 58% / Butler’s superior adjusted efficiency (top-50 KenPom) and home dominance (8-2 at Hinkle) give a clear edge over DePaul’s poor defense, with sim cover rate supporting value despite public lean.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 149.5 at -110 / 54% / Both teams play moderate tempo with Butler averaging 78 PPG and DePaul allowing 82; recent trends show overs in 6 of Butler’s last 8, pushing total above line per sim average of 152.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Butler / Moneyline / -350 / 75% / Dominant win probability from efficiency metrics and DePaul’s road struggles (2-7 away), aligning with sim outcomes favoring Butler in 75% of runs.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Butler | 75% |
| Win % for DePaul | 25% |
| Spread Cover % for Butler | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 152 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [ -5, 21 ] |

Butler vs DePaul on 2026-01-20

Game Times

ET: 7:30 PM
CT: 6:30 PM
MT: 5:30 PM
PT: 4:30 PM
AKT: 3:30 PM
HST: 1:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
[70% / 30%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -8 and held steady, with minimal movement despite public leaning toward the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3% on Butler spread; simulation and efficiency metrics show positive value against implied odds, adjusted for home advantage.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors Butler, aligning with money distribution and steady line movement, indicating consensus without sharp resistance. Following the public is optimal here as metrics like Butler’s offensive efficiency and DePaul’s defensive woes confirm the edge, avoiding unnecessary fades. The game outlook leans toward moderate scoring, with both teams’ paces and recent overs suggesting a total exceeding the line based on offensive outputs averaging over 150 combined points.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Butler / No clear edge] — mathematical probability favors Butler’s cover and win given the alignment and sim-backed edges.

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