Ole Miss vs Auburn

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-20 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-20 11:28 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Auburn / Spread / -1.5 at -110 / 55% / Auburn’s stronger recent form and defensive efficiency give them an edge to cover the small spread on the road, supported by line stability and simulation outcomes.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 149.5 at -110 / 53% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo with solid offensive rebounding rates, leading to games averaging near 150 points recently, favoring the over in this matchup.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Auburn / Moneyline / -120 / 55% / Auburn’s superior adjusted efficiency ratings and win probability from simulations make them the value play straight up against Ole Miss.]

Ole Miss vs Auburn on 2026-01-20

Game Times

ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[Auburn 65% / Ole Miss 35%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Auburn 70% / Ole Miss 30%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

[Line opened at Auburn -1 and has held steady at -1.5 with balanced action, no significant reverse movement noted.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+2% on Auburn spread due to convergence of public and money favoring the favorite alongside positive simulation cover rates.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Auburn, making following the favorite the optimal approach rather than fading, as metrics like adjusted defensive efficiency support the Tigers’ edge without contrarian signals. Ole Miss’s home advantage tempers the spread but doesn’t shift the balance. Overall game scoring outlook points to a moderate total, with both offenses capable of pushing past 149.5 given rebounding and pace trends.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Auburn] — Auburn holds the best mathematical probability of winning based on efficiency metrics and simulation data.

Simulation Results

| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Ole Miss | 44% |
| Win % for Auburn | 55% |
| Spread Cover % for Ole Miss (+1.5) | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 53% / Under: 47% |
| Average Total Points | 150.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin (Auburn) | [-8.0, 10.0] |

Highlights unavailable.