Missouri vs Georgia

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-20 09:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-20 11:29 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Missouri / Spread / +1.0 at -110 / 52% / Missouri shows resilience at home with a strong defensive rebounding rate, covering in 6 of last 8 home games against ranked opponents; sim supports slight edge despite Georgia’s ranking.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 164.5 at -110 / 51% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo with adjusted efficiencies suggesting combined output above average; recent games for Georgia average 168 points, Missouri 162, favoring push toward over.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Georgia / Moneyline / -115 / 52% / Georgia’s superior adjusted offensive efficiency (top 30 nationally) and no injuries give them a narrow edge on the road against a middling Missouri squad.]

Missouri vs Georgia on 2026-01-20

Game Times

ET: 9:00 PM
CT: 8:00 PM
MT: 7:00 PM
PT: 6:00 PM
AKT: 5:00 PM
HST: 3:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[45% Missouri / 55% Georgia]

💰 Money Distribution

[48% Missouri / 52% Georgia]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

Line opened at Georgia -1.5 and ticked to -1.0 with balanced action; total steady at 164.5 despite minor early over bets.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+1.5% on Missouri spread / Public leans Georgia but money is split, with home-court data and sim probabilities creating value on the underdog side; EV holds without strong RLM signals.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Missouri | 48.5% |
| Win % for Georgia | 51.5% |
| Spread Cover % for Missouri (+1.5) | 52.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 165.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15, 16] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment slightly favors Georgia as the ranked visitor, aligning with money distribution and lacking sharp resistance via RLM, making a follow on the favorite viable without contrarian need. Both teams’ defenses allow efficient shooting (Missouri 48% opponent eFG%, Georgia 47%), pointing to a moderate-scoring affair around the total. Overall, math favors a close contest with minimal edges.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Georgia] — Georgia’s form and efficiency provide the best probability in a tight matchup.

Highlights unavailable.