Wright State vs Cleveland State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-21 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-21 11:17 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Wright State / Spread / -4.5 at -120 / 60% / Wright State shows strong home form in the Horizon League, covering in 6 of last 8, with efficient offense against Cleveland State’s weaker defense, supported by simulation cover rate.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 151.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams play at a moderate tempo with recent games averaging over 150 points combined, and defensive injuries on both sides suggest a higher-scoring affair despite neutral trends.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Wright State / Moneyline / -200 / 68% / Home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings give Wright State a clear edge, aligning with 68.5% simulated win probability.]

Wright State vs Cleveland State on 2026-01-21

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[62% / 38%]

💰 Money Distribution
[58% / 42%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -5 and ticked to -4.5 with balanced action, showing stability despite slight public lean toward the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% / Positive EV on Wright State spread due to home efficiency and Cleveland State’s road struggles, confirmed by simulation and recent form.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Wright State | 68.5% |
| Win % for Cleveland State | 30.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Wright State | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52% / Under: 48% |
| Average Total Points | 151.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-10.5, 20.3] |

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Wright State, aligning with sharp money indicators and market consensus, making a follow strategy optimal as EV supports the favorite without contrarian signals. Cleveland State’s recent road losses highlight defensive vulnerabilities, while Wright State’s home scoring average exceeds 78 points. Overall game outlook points to moderate scoring around 151 total, with potential for over if pace quickens.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Wright State] — mathematical probability favors the home team based on form and simulation outcomes.

Highlights unavailable.