Davidson vs Fordham

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-21 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-21 11:26 AM EST

Davidson vs Fordham on 2026-01-21

💰 Best Bet #1 [Davidson / Spread / -7.5 at -110 / 61% / Davidson’s strong home efficiency and Fordham’s road struggles create a clear edge, supported by recent form and injury impacts.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 137.5 at -110 / 52% / Both teams show defensive rebounding strengths and lower tempo in conference play, trending toward controlled scoring.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Davidson / Moneyline / -320 at -110 / 74% / Home advantage and superior adjusted efficiency ratings favor Davidson decisively against a depleted Fordham squad.]

Game Times

ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets

[Davidson 68% / Fordham 32%]

💰 Money Distribution

[Davidson 72% / Fordham 28%]

💹 Market Alignment

[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement

[Opened at -6.5, moved to -7.5 with balanced action; no significant RLM observed.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)

[+2.8% on Davidson spread; simulation and metrics converge on value despite public lean, with no contrarian signals.]

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment aligns with sharp money on Davidson, as both favor the home team amid Fordham’s injury concerns and poor road form. Following the public is optimal here, given the consensus and positive EV without divergence. The game outlook points to moderate scoring, with defensive efficiencies suggesting a total under the line.

🔮 Recommended Play

[Follow the public with Davidson] — mathematical probability supports the favorite in this home matchup.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Davidson | 74% |
| Win % for Fordham | 26% |
| Spread Cover % for Davidson | 61% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 138.2 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, -4] |

Highlights unavailable.