NCAAB

Seattle vs Loyola Marymount

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-21 10:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-21 11:42 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Loyola Marymount / Spread / -14.5 at -110 / 58% Confidence
Loyola Marymount’s dominant win probability and strong defensive efficiency in recent games make them likely to cover the spread against a struggling Seattle squad, supported by line stability and home-court trends.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 152.5 at -110 / 58% Confidence
Both teams’ offensive rebounding rates and pace of play suggest a higher-scoring affair, with average totals exceeding the line based on current season metrics and matchup pace.

💰 Best Bet #3 Loyola Marymount / Moneyline / -1200 / 88% Confidence
Loyola Marymount’s superior adjusted efficiency ratings and Seattle’s poor recent form create a clear edge, with the Lions favored heavily in simulations.

🏀 Matchup: Seattle vs Loyola Marymount on 2026-01-21

Game Times
ET: 10:00 PM
CT: 9:00 PM
MT: 8:00 PM
PT: 7:00 PM
AKT: 6:00 PM
HST: 4:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Loyola Marymount 72% / Seattle 28%

💰 Money Distribution
Loyola Marymount 65% / Seattle 35%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -13.5 for Loyola Marymount and moved to -14.5 with balanced action, indicating stability despite public lean on the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Loyola Marymount spread, driven by simulation convergence and defensive metrics favoring a comfortable margin without overreaction in odds.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Seattle | 12% |
| Win % for Loyola Marymount | 88% |
| Spread Cover % for Seattle (+14.5) | 42% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 58% / Under: 42% |
| Average Total Points | 152.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [Loyola Marymount -12 to -18] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Loyola Marymount, aligning with sharp money indicators and mathematical projections from efficiency ratings and recent form, making a follow strategy optimal rather than fading. Seattle’s turnover percentage and defensive rebounding weaknesses point to a lopsided contest, while both teams’ pace suggests the total could push higher than expected based on offensive efficiencies. Overall, the game outlook leans toward a decisive win for the Lions with moderate scoring.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Loyola Marymount — simulations and market data confirm the highest probability of success on their side.

Highlights unavailable.