Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls

League: NBA | Date: 2026-01-22 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-22 06:10 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Minnesota Timberwolves / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 65% / Timberwolves’ strong home defense and Bulls’ injury concerns create a clear edge, with recent form showing Minnesota covering in 7 of last 10 home games against sub-.500 teams.]
💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 239.5 at -110 / 60% / Both teams play at a high pace, with Minnesota’s offense averaging 118 points lately and Chicago’s defense allowing 115 per game, pushing totals over in 6 of 8 combined recent matchups.]
💰 Best Bet #3 [Minnesota Timberwolves / Moneyline / -420 / 75% / Dominant season record and home advantage outweigh Chicago’s road struggles, where they’ve won just 3 of 12 away games this season.]

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls on 2026-01-22

Game Times

ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[72% / 28%]

💰 Money Distribution
[68% / 32%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
Line opened at -8.5 for Minnesota and moved to -9.5 with balanced action, showing stability despite public lean toward the favorite.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+4.2% on Timberwolves spread; simulation and metrics indicate undervalued home dominance, with positive EV from pace-adjusted projections exceeding implied odds.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Minnesota Timberwolves | 76% |
| Win % for Chicago Bulls | 24% |
| Spread Cover % for Minnesota Timberwolves (-9.5) | 61% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 57% / Under: 43% |
| Average Total Points | 242.3 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [5.2, 14.8] |

Top 3 Player Props

Player Prop #1: Anthony Edwards / Over Points / 28.5 at -115 / 70% / Edwards averages 29.2 points at home this season, exploiting Chicago’s weak perimeter defense that allows 25+ from guards in 70% of games.
Player Prop #2: Coby White / Under Assists / 5.5 at -110 / 68% / White’s usage drops without key playmakers, averaging 4.8 assists in road games, facing Minnesota’s elite assist defense limiting opponents to under 22 team assists.
Player Prop #3: Julius Randle / Over Rebounds / 9.5 at -120 / 72% / Randle grabs 10.1 boards per game against teams like Chicago, who rank bottom-5 in defensive rebounding rate, boosted by his 35% usage in the frontcourt.

⚖️ Analysis Summary

Public sentiment heavily favors the Timberwolves, aligning with sharp money indicators and line stability, making a follow-the-public approach optimal here as EV supports the favorite without contrarian signals. Chicago’s injuries to key guards like Giddey weaken their offense, while Minnesota’s rest advantage enhances their efficiency. Overall, expect a high-scoring affair given both teams’ top-10 pace rankings and defensive lapses in recent outings.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Minnesota Timberwolves — simulation and market data confirm the highest probability of a home victory.

Highlights unavailable.