Mount St. Mary's vs Quinnipiac

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-22 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-22 10:51 AM EST

Mount St. Mary’s vs Quinnipiac on 2026-01-22

💰 Best Bet #1 [Quinnipiac / Spread / -4.5 at -110 / 58% / Quinnipiac’s undefeated conference record and superior efficiency ratings give them an edge to cover on the road against a middling Mount St. Mary’s squad.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / Total / 142.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams rank in the lower half for pace and offensive efficiency this season, with recent games trending toward defensive battles and lower totals.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Quinnipiac / Moneyline / -210 / 68% / Quinnipiac’s 14-4 overall mark and 9-game win streak provide strong value on the favorite line despite being away.]

Game Times
ET: 7:00 PM
CT: 6:00 PM
MT: 5:00 PM
PT: 4:00 PM
AKT: 3:00 PM
HST: 1:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[65% Quinnipiac / 35% Mount St. Mary’s]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% Quinnipiac / 45% Mount St. Mary’s]

💹 Market Alignment
[Aligned]

📉 Line Movement
[Stable at Quinnipiac -4.5; opened at -4 and held firm with balanced action, no significant RLM observed.]

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Quinnipiac spread; implied probability undervalues their defensive strength and recent form against similar opponents, creating positive EV based on efficiency metrics.]

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Mount St. Mary’s | 30% |
| Win % for Quinnipiac | 68% |
| Spread Cover % for Mount St. Mary’s (+4.5) | 45% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48% / Under: 52% |
| Average Total Points | 142 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-12, 18] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Quinnipiac with aligned money percentages, supported by their dominant conference play and no major injuries impacting key players. Sharp action appears to follow the favorite, making it optimal to align rather than fade, as contextual metrics like tempo and rebounding favor a controlled game. Overall scoring outlook points to a lower-total affair, with both defenses allowing under 70 points per game in recent MAAC matchups.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Follow the public with Quinnipiac] — their metrics and form confirm the highest probability of success.

Highlights unavailable.