Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-23 02:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-23 10:35 AM EST

Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State on 2026-01-23

💰 Best Bet #1 [Louisiana Tech / +1.5 / -110 / 55% / Line movement favors Kennesaw State, but simulation shows strong cover probability for Louisiana Tech based on recent form and home advantage in current season.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Under / 143.5 / -110 / 52% / Both teams exhibit defensive efficiencies in recent games, with average total aligning below the line per 2026 season metrics.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Kennesaw State / Moneyline / -115 / 52% / Slight edge in win probability from Monte Carlo, supported by line shift indicating sharp action.]

Game Times

ET: 2:00 PM
CT: 1:00 PM
MT: 12:00 PM
PT: 11:00 AM
AKT: 10:00 AM
HST: 8:00 AM

💸 Public Bets
[45% / 55%]

💰 Money Distribution
[40% / 60%]

💹 Market Alignment
[Divergent]

📉 Line Movement
Line moved from Kennesaw State +1.5 to -1.5, signaling potential sharp money on the visitor despite moderate public interest.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
[+3.2% on Louisiana Tech spread; EV derived from simulation probabilities exceeding implied odds, with reverse line movement adding value.]

Top 3 Player Props

Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Louisiana Tech | 48.0% |
| Win % for Kennesaw State | 52.0% |
| Spread Cover % for Louisiana Tech | 55.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 48.0% / Under: 52.0% |
| Average Total Points | 142.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-15.0, 13.0] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans slightly toward Kennesaw State, but divergent money distribution and reverse line movement suggest sharp resistance, making a fade on the public optimal for the spread. Math aligns with following the under due to both teams’ mid-season defensive trends in the 2026 campaign. Overall, the game projects as low-scoring, with totals favoring under based on pace and efficiency ratings.

🔮 Recommended Play
[Fade the public on Kennesaw State] — simulation and line movement confirm higher probability for Louisiana Tech to keep it close.

Highlights unavailable.