Oklahoma vs Arkansas

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-27 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-27 07:15 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Arkansas / Spread / -3.5 at -110 / 56% / Simulation shows 56% cover rate with Arkansas holding edge in adjusted efficiency and home-court advantage against Oklahoma’s recent road struggles.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 150.5 at -110 / 51% / Both teams’ defensive rebounding and turnover-forcing metrics suggest controlled pace, aligning with 51% under probability from 10,000 sims averaging 150 points.
💰 Best Bet #3 Arkansas / Moneyline / -144 / 59% / True win probability of 59% exceeds implied odds, supported by superior O/D ratings and matchup form.

🏀 Oklahoma vs Arkansas on 2026-01-27

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Oklahoma 42% / Arkansas 58%

💰 Money Distribution
Oklahoma 45% / Arkansas 55%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -3.5 for Arkansas; no significant RLM despite moderate public favoritism.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Arkansas spread / +1.8% Under total — sim convergence and efficiency metrics outweigh public lean without sharp resistance.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Arkansas | 59% |
| Win % for Oklahoma | 41% |
| Spread Cover % for Arkansas (-3.5) | 56% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 150 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-19, 24] |

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment aligns closely with money distribution on Arkansas, supported by sim win probability and no contradictory RLM or injuries, making a follow-public approach optimal rather than fading. Defensive efficiencies for both sides point to a lower-scoring affair under the total. Home advantage bolsters Arkansas edge without overvaluation from hype.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Arkansas — highest probability from aligned metrics and simulation.

Highlights unavailable.