Michigan vs Nebraska

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-27 07:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-27 07:18 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Michigan / -6.5 / -110 / 58% / Simulation cover rate of 58.1% exceeds implied odds probability, backed by superior adjusted efficiency ratings and home-court edge in current season metrics.

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / 149.5 / -110 / 52% / Projected average total of 149.8 surpasses line, driven by combined offensive efficiencies and pace despite defensive matchups.

💰 Best Bet #3 Michigan / Moneyline / -280 / 74% / Dominant 74.2% win probability from Monte Carlo sim, supported by recent form convergence and Nebraska’s road struggles.

🏀 Michigan vs Nebraska on 2026-01-27

Game Times
ET: 07:00 PM
CT: 06:00 PM
MT: 05:00 PM
PT: 04:00 PM
AKT: 03:00 PM
HST: 01:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
Michigan 68% / Nebraska 32%

💰 Money Distribution
Michigan 62% / Nebraska 38%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at Michigan -6.5; no significant RLM observed amid moderate volume.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Michigan | 74.2% |
| Win % for Nebraska | 25.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Michigan | 58.1% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51.7% / Under: 48.3% |
| Average Total Points | 149.8 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-11.8, 29.4] |

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.2% on Michigan -6.5; sim probabilities exceed implied odds, confirmed by efficiency ratings despite limited live data.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans Michigan with aligned money distribution, supporting a follow strategy as sim metrics and efficiency ratings confirm value without contrarian signals like RLM. No sharp divergences noted in available data. Game projects as moderately high-scoring at 149.8 average total, favoring slight lean to Over based on offensive paces and defensive allowances.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Michigan — highest mathematical probability aligns with market consensus and simulation dominance.

Highlights unavailable.