NCAAB

Alabama vs Missouri

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-27 08:00 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-27 07:41 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Alabama / Spread / -9.5 at -110 / 58% / Alabama’s superior adjusted efficiency ratings and home-court dominance yield a strong edge over Missouri’s defensive vulnerabilities, aligning with 57% sim cover rate.
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / Total / 152.5 at -110 / 53% / Both teams exhibit high-tempo play with recent averages exceeding 76 points each, supporting a slight lean over based on pace and offensive rebounding metrics.
💰 Best Bet #3 Alabama / Moneyline / -420 / 77% / Dominant win probability from simulation, bolstered by home advantage and Missouri’s road struggles.

🏀 Matchup: Alabama vs Missouri on 2026-01-27
Game Times
ET: 08:00 PM
CT: 07:00 PM
MT: 06:00 PM
PT: 05:00 PM
AKT: 04:00 PM
HST: 02:00 PM

💸 Public Bets
[68% Alabama / 32% Missouri]

💰 Money Distribution
[62% Alabama / 38% Missouri]

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -9.5 for Alabama spread; total steady at 152.5 amid moderate volume.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Alabama -9.5; implied prob undervalues sim-projected cover rate with positive EV from efficiency mismatch.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|———————————|——————————–|
| Win % for Alabama | 76.8% |
| Win % for Missouri | 23.2% |
| Spread Cover % for Alabama | 57.4% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 52.1% / Under: 47.9% |
| Average Total Points | 152.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-1.8, 27.2] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans toward Alabama, aligning with sharp money indicators and simulation outcomes, making a follow strategy optimal amid convergent metrics. Alabama’s offensive efficiency overwhelms Missouri’s perimeter defense, projecting a comfortable margin. Game scoring outlook favors moderate total with both sides pushing pace but solid interior play capping extremes.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Alabama — simulation and market consensus confirm highest probability on the favorite.

Highlights unavailable.