Marquette vs Creighton

League: NCAAB | Date: 2026-01-27 09:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-27 07:49 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Marquette / -4.5 / -110 / 58% / Simulation shows 55.4% cover rate exceeding implied probability, supported by home efficiency edges and recent form convergence

💰 Best Bet #2 Over / 152.5 / -110 / 54% / Average simulated total of 152.9 with 51.2% over probability aligns with both teams’ pace and defensive rebounding weaknesses

💰 Best Bet #3 Marquette / Moneyline / -200 / 62% / 58.2% win probability offers value against implied odds, factoring home-court and matchup metrics

🏀 Marquette vs Creighton on 2026-01-27

Game Times
ET: 09:30 PM
CT: 08:30 PM
MT: 07:30 PM
PT: 06:30 PM
AKT: 05:30 PM
HST: 03:30 PM

💸 Public Bets
Marquette 64% / Creighton 36%

💰 Money Distribution
Marquette 59% / Creighton 41%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -4.5 after opening -4; minimal movement despite public lean

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.1% on Marquette spread — sim probabilities exceed market-implied odds with strong home rating differential

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Marquette | 58.2% |
| Win % for Creighton | 41.8% |
| Spread Cover % for Marquette -4.5 | 55.4% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51.2% / Under: 48.8% |
| Average Total Points | 152.9 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-9.8, 18.2] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment leans Marquette with aligned sharp money indicators, supporting a follow strategy as EV confirms the favorite without RLM signals. Both teams show moderate offensive efficiencies but allow high opponent eFG%, pointing to a playable total near average pace. No major injuries reported, preserving key matchup dynamics.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Marquette — highest mathematical probability backed by simulation and market consensus.

Highlights unavailable.