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Philadelphia Flyers LogoPhiladelphia Flyers vs Los Angeles Kings LogoLos Angeles Kings

League: NHL | Date: 2026-01-31 12:30 PM EST | Last Updated: 2026-01-31 07:54 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 [Los Angeles Kings / Puck Line / +1.5 at -185 / 68% / Simulations project Kings covering in 70% of outcomes due to strong recent away form and Flyers’ defensive vulnerabilities from recent games.]

💰 Best Bet #2 [Over / Total / 5.5 at -110 / 55% / Model indicates lower-scoring tendency flipped per NHL historical adjustment, but matchup pace suggests push towards total.]

💰 Best Bet #3 [Los Angeles Kings / Moneyline / +105 / 52% / Kings hold edge in projected win probability from recent scoring efficiency despite road game.]

Philadelphia Flyers vs Los Angeles Kings

Game Times
ET: 12:30 PM
CT: 11:30 AM
MT: 10:30 AM
PT: 9:30 AM
AKT: 8:30 AM
HST: 6:30 AM

💸 Public Bets
[68% / 32%]

💰 Money Distribution
[42% / 58%]

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Line shifted from Flyers -135 to -120 ML despite heavy public on home side, indicating sharp action on Kings.

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
Kings +3.5% EV on puck line and ML based on sim convergence and RLM supporting away value.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Philadelphia Flyers | 48% |
| Win % for Los Angeles Kings | 50% |
| Spread Cover % for Philadelphia Flyers -1.5 | 30% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 44% / Under: 56% |
| Average Total Goals | 5.4 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-2.8, 3.2] |

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public heavily favors Flyers at home, but divergent money percentages and reverse line movement signal sharp play on Kings, aligning with model projections of a close, Kings-favored outcome. Recent Flyers games show defensive lapses allowing 3.67 goals per game, while Kings average 3 goals scored away. Overall game outlook leans low-scoring with under 5.5 probable pre-flip, favoring defensive battle.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Los Angeles Kings — model and sharp indicators confirm highest win probability.

Highlights unavailable.

Post ID: 35362