NBA

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons

League: NBA | Game Time: 8:00 PM ET • 7:00 PM CT • 6:00 PM MT • 5:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 05:06 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Detroit Pistons / Spread / -10.5 at -108 / 57% / Simulation shows 55% Pistons cover rate with Bulls at 45%, supported by Chicago’s 1-9 recent form (avg -13.4 margin) and injuries like Essengue/Collins out offsetting public spread action on +10.5
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 235.5 at -110 / 54% / Avg sim total 231.5 trails line; Bulls allow 124.1 PPG recently while Pistons injuries (Stewart/Jones out) slow pace, aligning with 51% under prob and money %
💰 Best Bet #3 Detroit Pistons / Moneyline / -550 / 82% / Dominant 82% win prob from sim, heavy public/money consensus (88%/93%) despite juice, Bulls depleted roster/form confirm edge

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Chicago Bulls | 18% |
| Win % for Detroit Pistons | 82% |
| Spread Cover % for Chicago Bulls | 45% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 231.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-21.2, 42.1] |

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🏀 Matchup: Detroit Pistons @ Chicago Bulls

💸 Public Bets
[Chicago Bulls 12% / Detroit Pistons 88%] (ML); [59% / 41%] (spread)

💰 Money Distribution
[Chicago Bulls 7% / Detroit Pistons 93%] (ML); [64% / 36%] (spread)

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent (ML consensus on Pistons; spread bets/money favor Bulls +10.5)

📉 Line Movement
Stable per provided data—no notable shifts observed across books (spread holding +10.5/-10.5)

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.2% on Detroit Pistons -10.5 (model cover prob 55% vs. -110 implied 52.4%; justified by sim dominance, Bulls injuries/form, despite public spread fade)

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Detroit on ML with sharp money alignment (88%/93%), while spread action supports Bulls +10.5 cover amid divergent signals—math/sim favor following Pistons dominance over fading public there. Bulls’ poor 1-9 form and key outs (Essengue, Collins, Ivey listed) weaken resistance despite home court. Overall scoring outlook leans low (sim avg 231.5) with defensive injuries/rest limiting pace on both sides.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Detroit Pistons — 82% sim win prob and money consensus outweigh juice for highest mathematical probability.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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