New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets

League: NBA | Game Time: 8:30 PM ET • 7:30 PM CT • 6:30 PM MT • 5:30 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 05:08 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 New York Knicks / Spread / -3.5 at -112 / 72% / Knicks dominate sim with 72% cover rate, bolstered by home form (avg +12.2 margin recently), Rockets key absences (VanVleet/Adams out) weakening backcourt/rim protection.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 219.5 at -110 / 52% / Sim avg total 213.5 well below line; Knicks recent games avg ~227 but defensive strength (107.6 PA) and Rockets road struggles project low-scoring grind.
💰 Best Bet #3 New York Knicks / Moneyline / -166 / 72% / 71.5% sim win prob exceeds implied ~62%, public/sharp alignment on home fave with superior recent form (7-3 L10).

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for New York Knicks | 71.5% |
| Win % for Houston Rockets | 28.5% |
| Spread Cover % for New York Knicks (-3) | 72.0% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 50.2% / Under: 49.8% |
| Average Total Points | 213.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [ -15.2, 38.1 ] |

🏀 Matchup: New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets on 2026-02-22

💸 Public Bets
New York Knicks 56% / Houston Rockets 44%

💰 Money Distribution
New York Knicks 61% / Houston Rockets 39%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -3.5 across books; consistent with opening lines and money leaning home

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4.5% on Knicks -3.5 (72% sim cover vs ~53% implied); +3% ML value, Under edge from low sim total vs line

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets and money align on Knicks, matching sim edge and recent form where Knicks outscore opponents by +12.2 avg; no RLM to fade, injuries hit Rockets harder (no VanVleet/Adams). Game projects low-scoring with Knicks D holding foes under 108 PPG recently vs Rockets’ road inefficiencies. Follow public/sharp consensus on home side.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with New York Knicks — strongest math on spread/ML with 72% convergence.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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