NBA

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets

League: NBA | Game Time: 6:00 PM ET • 5:00 PM CT • 4:00 PM MT • 3:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-22 05:04 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Washington Wizards +11.5 at -110 58% Model simulation shows 55% cover probability for Wizards exceeding -110 breakeven (52.4%), supported by sharp money (55%) on home dog amid even public split and extensive injuries limiting Charlotte’s dominance.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under 225.5 at -110 72% Simulated average total of 220 points with 70% under probability; both teams hampered by key outs (e.g., Sarr, Bridges), recent low-scoring trends (Wizards avg 113.9 PPG), and defensive metrics favoring containment.
💰 Best Bet #3 Charlotte Hornets Moneyline at -590 75% Hornets 72% win probability aligns with public (91% bets) and money (96%) consensus despite injuries, leveraging superior recent form (wins vs OKC, SAS) over Wizards’ inconsistency.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Washington Wizards | 28% |
| Win % for Charlotte Hornets | 72% |
| Spread Cover % for Washington Wizards (+11.5) | 55% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 30% / Under: 70% |
| Average Total Points | 220 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-6, 34] |

🏀 Matchup: Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets

💸 Public Bets
Washington Wizards 50% / Charlotte Hornets 50%

💰 Money Distribution
Washington Wizards 55% / Charlotte Hornets 45%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
N/A

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Wizards +11.5 (55% cover > breakeven); +8% on Under 225.5 (70% prob, injury-depleted offenses avg

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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