NCAAB
Radford vs 
Gardner Webb
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 09:07 PM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Gardner-Webb / +14.5 at -115 / 58% confidence
Sharp money 59% on dog vs 54% public bets signals professional action; line stable supports value against heavy favorite.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 153.5 at -115 / 55% confidence
Money distribution 55% under with slight public lean; aligns with defensive matchup expectations in mid-major conference play.
💰 Best Bet #3 Radford / Moneyline / -900 / 82% confidence
Home heavy favorite per consensus line; public 90% on ML converges with implied probability.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Radford Highlanders | 80% |
| Win % for Gardner-Webb Bulldogs | 20% |
| Spread Cover % for Radford (-14.5) | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 153.5 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-1.2, 30.2] |
🏀 Matchup: Radford Highlanders vs Gardner-Webb Bulldogs on 2026-02-20
💸 Public Bets
46% / 54%
💰 Money Distribution
41% / 59%
💹 Market Alignment
Divergent
📉 Line Movement
Stable at -14.5; no significant shifts observed from available data.
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on Gardner-Webb +14.5; money disparity (>15% higher on dog) with stable line indicates sharp resistance to favorite.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment split on spread (slight dog lean) but heavy on home moneyline, while sharp money favors Gardner-Webb +14.5, creating clear contrarian value without conflicting metrics. Follow sharp action over public. Overall game scoring outlook moderate-to-low, with under supported by money lean and average tempo implied by total line.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Gardner-Webb +14.5 — highest mathematical probability backed by money % disparity.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.