NCAAB

Campbell vs William & Mary

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 09:24 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 William & Mary / -1.5 / +320 / 58% / Money split even but public bets balanced; sim cover probability exceeds implied odds for strong EV despite slight money on dog

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 169.5 at -165 / 52% / Public 58% bets/62% money on Over; high total line vulnerable to defensive regression in low-volume matchup

💰 Best Bet #3 William & Mary / Moneyline / -450 / 55% / Consensus line holds firm with 62% public/67% money alignment on favorite

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Campbell Fighting Camels | 46% |
| Win % for William & Mary Tribe | 54% |
| Spread Cover % for Campbell Fighting Camels (+1.5) | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 170 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-19, 22] |

🏈 Matchup: Campbell Fighting Camels vs William & Mary Tribe on 2026-02-20

💸 Public Bets
[50% / 50%]

💰 Money Distribution
[55% / 45%]

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Stable across books; no significant shifts observed

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+12% on W&M -1.5 (sim 52% cover vs 24% implied); contextual home adv offset by favorite efficiency

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public and money heavily favor William & Mary ML with alignment, but spread shows divergence as money leans Campbell +1.5 despite even bets—math and sim support fading dog on spread for EV. Overall game scoring projects neutral around total with average pace, favoring Under against public Over lean. Low-volume matchup reduces sharp signals, prioritizing sim convergence.

🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on Campbell — sim and EV align with William & Mary dominance.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.