Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Texas Southern

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 8:30 PM ET • 7:30 PM CT • 6:30 PM MT • 5:30 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 09:52 PM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions / +1.5 / -115 / 55% / Public (58%) and money (63%) alignment favors home dog with strong home-court edge in close SWAC matchup

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 160.5 / -115 / 53% / Balanced offensive/defensive metrics project below line despite slight public lean to over

💰 Best Bet #3 Texas Southern Tigers / Moneyline / -130 / 54% / Slight road favorite offers value vs even implied probs, convergence supports

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 47% |
| Win % for Texas Southern Tigers | 53% |
| Spread Cover % for Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (+1.5) | 51% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 160 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-21, 24] |

🏀 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs Texas Southern Tigers on 2026-02-20

💸 Public Bets
[58% / 42%]

💰 Money Distribution
[63% / 37%]

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -1.5 despite limited action (6 books)

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on UAPB +1.5 — Alignment without heavy public (>70%) supports positive EV on home side.

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure.

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public bets and money distribution converge on the home underdog, indicating market consensus without sharp resistance or RLM. No recent form or injury data alters this; follow alignment for edge. Overall game scoring outlook moderate, favoring Under based on projected efficiencies.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions +1.5 — Best mathematical probability in low-volume matchup.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

Highlights unavailable.