NCAAB
Long Beach State vs 
UC Irvine
League: NCAAB | Game Time: 10:00 PM ET • 9:00 PM CT • 8:00 PM MT • 7:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-19 10:28 PM EST
💰 Best Bet #1 Long Beach St 49ers / +6.5 / -108 / 55% / Mild public lean (54%) to favorite but money disparity suggests sharp hesitation on UCI cover, recent UCI close games support dog covering.
💰 Best Bet #2 Under / 123.5 / -112 / 58% / Public (56%) and money (60%) heavily favor under in low-total Big West matchup with UCI’s recent games averaging under line.
💰 Best Bet #3 UC Irvine Anteaters / Moneyline / -410 / 72% / Consensus alignment on heavy favorite with strong implied probability convergence.
Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Long Beach St 49ers | 28% |
| Win % for UC Irvine Anteaters | 72% |
| Spread Cover % for Long Beach St 49ers | 52% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 42% / Under: 58% |
| Average Total Points | 120 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-23, 36] |
🏀 Matchup: Long Beach St 49ers vs UC Irvine Anteaters on 2026-02-20
💸 Public Bets
46% / 54%
💰 Money Distribution
41% / 59%
💹 Market Alignment
Aligned
📉 Line Movement
Stable across books (+6.5 to +7.5 variation)
💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Long Beach +6.5; sim cover prob exceeds implied (52% vs 51.9% at -108) despite public tilt.
Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster and injury verification failure.
⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment and sharp money align on UC Irvine straight-up but diverge slightly on spread with more money resistance, supporting a fade on the favorite’s cover. UCI’s recent form shows vulnerability in close contests, boosting dog cover value while low-scoring trends (UCI avg ~78 PPG in provided games) favor under in this defensive-leaning total. Overall game projects low-scoring affair under 123.5 based on line, splits, and sim.
🔮 Recommended Play
Fade the public on UC Irvine — mathematical edge on Long Beach +6.5.
Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.
Highlights unavailable.