Rider vs Canisius

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 7:00 PM ET • 6:00 PM CT • 5:00 PM MT • 4:00 PM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-20 11:18 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Canisius Golden Griffins / -1.5 / -110 / 56% / Simulation cover probability at 56%, supported by money distribution 61% on away side with public alignment
💰 Best Bet #2 Over / 131.5 / -110 / 51% / Model projects 51% over probability with average total 131.9, recent trends and pace suggest moderate scoring despite public under lean
💰 Best Bet #3 Canisius Golden Griffins / Moneyline / -110 / 52% / 52% win probability in simulations exceeds implied odds in even matchup

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Rider Broncs | 46% |
| Win % for Canisius Golden Griffins | 52% |
| Spread Cover % for Rider Broncs | 50% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 131.9 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-33, 37] |

Rider Broncs vs Canisius Golden Griffins

💸 Public Bets
Rider 44% / Canisius 56%

💰 Money Distribution
Rider 39% / Canisius 61%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable based on available data

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3.5% EV on Canisius -1.5 as model 56% cover exceeds -110 implied probability of 52.4%

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment and sharp money align on Canisius, with 56% bets and 61% handle supporting the away side against the spread. Simulations confirm a slight edge for Canisius covering -1.5, while the total projects near the line with a modest over lean from pace modeling. Follow the consensus here as metrics and market action converge without strong contrarian signals; expect a close, moderate-scoring affair.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Canisius — model-backed probability aligns with betting action for positive EV.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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