NCAAB

Charlotte vs East Carolina

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 12:00 PM ET • 11:00 AM CT • 10:00 AM MT • 9:00 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 07:33 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Charlotte 49ers / -6 / -110 / 58% / Home team shows edge in simulations covering 51% with strong home advantage and public split suggesting value vs money on dog

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 145.5 at -110 / 55% / Both teams project low-scoring based on total line, recent trends lean under with defensive metrics and money 56% under

💰 Best Bet #3 Charlotte 49ers / Moneyline / -250 / 70% / Heavy public and money on favorite aligns with 71% sim win probability

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Charlotte 49ers | 71% |
| Win % for East Carolina Pirates | 29% |
| Spread Cover % for Charlotte 49ers | 51% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 49% / Under: 51% |
| Average Total Points | 145 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [4, 8] |

🏈 Matchup: Charlotte 49ers vs East Carolina Pirates on 2026-02-21

💸 Public Bets
49% / 51%

💰 Money Distribution
44% / 56%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Stable across books from -6 to -6.5

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+2.5% on Charlotte spread; sim cover exceeds implied 52.4%

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public betting is split on the spread while money slightly favors the underdog East Carolina, indicating potential sharp action on the dog but simulations favor Charlotte covering at home. Overall alignment leans Charlotte on ML with public support. Game projects low-scoring under the total given defensive efficiencies and total money on under.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Charlotte 49ers — sim win prob and home edge outweigh slight money divergence.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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