Butler vs Xavier

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 1:30 PM ET • 12:30 PM CT • 11:30 AM MT • 10:30 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 07:55 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Butler / -3.5 / -3.5 at -110 / 58% / Public 51% and money 56% aligned on home favorite with stable line indicating sharp support

💰 Best Bet #2 Under / Total / 159.5 at -110 / 55% / Even public bets but slight money on Over creates value on Under given high total line and Big East defensive matchups

💰 Best Bet #3 Butler / Moneyline / -188 / 62% / Implied prob undervalues home win probability with money concentration at 68%

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Butler Bulldogs | 64% |
| Win % for Xavier Musketeers | 36% |
| Spread Cover % for Butler Bulldogs | 56% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 159 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [-17, 25] |

🏀 Butler Bulldogs vs Xavier Musketeers on 2026-02-21

💸 Public Bets
Butler 51% / Xavier 49%

💰 Money Distribution
Butler 56% / Xavier 44%

💹 Market Alignment
Aligned

📉 Line Movement
Stable at -3.5 across books

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+3% on Butler -3.5; convergence of public/money on favorite with no RLM against supports positive EV

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment and sharp money align on Butler covering the spread and winning outright, with no significant disparities signaling a fade. The high total of 159.5 shows even action but slight money lean Over, favoring Under in a matchup of efficient Big East defenses. Overall game outlook projects moderate scoring around 159 total points.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Butler — strongest mathematical probability backed by market consensus and home advantage.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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