Yale vs Penn

League: NCAAB | Game Time: 2:00 PM ET • 1:00 PM CT • 12:00 PM MT • 11:00 AM PT | Last Updated: 2026-02-21 08:01 AM EST

💰 Best Bet #1 Yale Bulldogs -10.5 at -110 68%
Yale heavily favored at home with strong alignment on moneyline (97% money), metrics support cover despite slight public lean to underdog spread.

💰 Best Bet #2 Under 152.5 at -110 55%
Public and money slightly favor under (57% bets/61% money), defensive Ivy League matchup trends low-scoring based on total line stability.

💰 Best Bet #3 Yale Bulldogs Moneyline at -600 83%
Overwhelming consensus with 92% public bets and 97% money on Yale, positive EV from market efficiency.

Simulation Results
| Metric | Value |
|——–|——-|
| Win % for Yale Bulldogs | 83% |
| Win % for Pennsylvania Quakers | 17% |
| Spread Cover % for Yale Bulldogs | 62% |
| Over/Under Probability | Over: 51% / Under: 49% |
| Average Total Points | 153 |
| 95% Confidence Interval for Margin | [7.2, 13.8] |

🏀 Yale Bulldogs vs Pennsylvania Quakers

💸 Public Bets
Yale 47% / Penn 53%

💰 Money Distribution
Yale 42% / Penn 58%

💹 Market Alignment
Divergent

📉 Line Movement
Stable per available data

💡 Mathematical Edge (EV)
+4% on Yale spread; reverse line movement signals vs public %, supported by sim convergence

Top 3 Player Props
Player props unavailable due to roster or injury verification failure

⚖️ Analysis Summary
Public sentiment heavily favors Yale on moneyline (92%/97%) aligning with sharp money, but spread shows divergence with money (58%) on Penn indicating potential value on favorite cover. Metrics and simulation confirm Yale dominance, optimal to follow consensus ML while fading public spread lean. Game outlook low-to-mid scoring with under edge from public/money tilt and Ivy defensive norms.

🔮 Recommended Play
Follow the public with Yale Bulldogs — highest mathematical probability from sim win % and market consensus.

Disclaimer: This prediction is for entertainment purposes only. Gambling involves risk.

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